At Trendpost, the goal has always been to look for early trends and opportunity angles. One trend that’s impossible to ignore right now is the rise in violent crime. Part of this, I believe, comes down to population. The world has never had this many people sharing the same space, and when more people are packed together, friction rises — and with it, conflict and violence.
Across North America, violent crime is now in the headlines almost daily: carjackings, stabbings, random assaults, and organized theft that too often turns violent. Ordinary people, going about ordinary lives, are increasingly exposed to danger.
And it’s not just a North American problem. Europe has seen knife attacks in public places, violent assaults in major cities, and unrest spilling into the streets. Even countries once considered safe are now confronting rising crime. The trend feels global — no region is immune.
With the assassination of Charlie Kirk, it has become impossible to ignore the danger. A public figure shot while speaking on stage at a university isn’t just another headline — it’s proof of where the real risk lies. Crowds, whether at schools, stadiums, or concert halls, are no longer just gatherings of people. They’ve become targets.
The hard truth is this: violence isn’t fading. It’s spreading. And law enforcement alone can’t keep up. That’s why more companies, schools, and public venues are turning their attention to prevention — especially in places where large crowds gather. Crowd security has become the new frontline. And that’s where I want to focus this month, by looking at a company building technology designed specifically for this challenge.
This company doesn’t make weapons or armored trucks. What it builds are security screening gateways. At first glance, they look like simple pillars placed at the entrance of a school, stadium, or concert hall. But inside are advanced sensors and AI that can quietly detect guns, knives, or other weapons before they ever get inside.
Currently, at places with large crowds — stadiums, concerts, or airports — people are used to standing in long lines while guards check bags one by one or wave metal-detecting wands. It’s slow, frustrating, and often ineffective. These gateways change that. Instead of stopping, people keep moving. The system works silently in the background, and if something dangerous is detected, security staff are alerted instantly. Thousands of people can flow through quickly without ever noticing the technology at work.
Schools are another obvious use. Hundreds of students carrying backpacks and laptops walk in every morning. Old-fashioned metal detectors would flag almost everything, creating chaos. These systems are smarter. They ignore the noise and only react when there’s a real threat.
Hospitals are adopting them too. Staff assaults have been rising, but hospitals can’t turn themselves into fortresses. They need to stay welcoming. With gateways at entrances, staff and patients feel safer without patients feeling intimidated. The same goes for casinos, convention centers, and other public spaces where thousands of people pass through daily.
And adoption isn’t some far-off dream — it’s happening now. Look at what the recent anouncements in the past few months:
That’s schools, universities, healthcare, convention centers, and entertainment — in just a few months. To me, that momentum says two things: first, the tech works; and second, credibility is building fast. In security, every successful deployment makes the next sale easier.
The company behind all of this is Xtract One Technologies (TSX: XTRA, OTCQX: XTRAF). Based in Toronto, it has carved out a niche in AI-powered threat detection, building tools designed to keep crowds safe without slowing them down.
Here is the lineup:
Together, these products form a complete ecosystem: hardware that blends into the background, and software that gives managers full control. It’s security that doesn’t just detect threats — it makes the whole process smoother, cheaper, and less intrusive.
I see it as a “picks and shovels” play for modern security. The demand is already here. The real question is whether Xtract One can scale fast enough to capture it.
Back in May, I picked up shares at $0.40. Today, they’re trading north of $0.75. Momentum has built quickly — the stock more than doubled in just two months, moving from $0.35 in August to above $0.75. That kind of move doesn’t happen by accident. Investors are waking up to the reality that rising crime means rising demand for security — and Xtract One is right in the middle of that trend.
This is still a small company. With about 218 million shares outstanding, trading around $0.65–$0.70, Xtract One sits at a market cap near $140–150 million CAD. For investors, that means volatility. But it also means opportunity.
Revenue for the first nine months of fiscal 2025 was $10.5 million, about flat compared to last year. On the surface, that doesn’t sound impressive. But what caught my eye was the backlog: $15.4 million in contracted sales plus another $21 million in signed deals waiting for installation. That pipeline is more than triple the company’s trailing revenue.
Margins are strong — gross margin sits around 64%, which is high for a business that mixes hardware and software. Losses are still here (net loss of $8.4 million year-to-date), but that’s the cost of growth. They’re spending on sales and development to secure market share.
The balance sheet shows $1.9 million in cash at the end of April, down from $8.6 million at the start of the year. Importantly, the company has no traditional bank debt. Most liabilities are deferred revenue — meaning customers are paying upfront. That’s a healthy sign, even if cash management will remain a critical challenge.
| In CAD$ | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | $1.1M | $3.6M | $4.1M | $16.4M |
| Gross margin | 97% | 79% | 52% | 62% |
| Net Income | ($16.6M) | ($39.7M) | ($16.3M) | ($11.1M) |
| Shares Outstanding | 151M | 156M | 177M | 204M |
| Cash | $9.7M | $6.3M | $8.3M | $8.6M |
| Total liabilities | $2.6M | $3.5M | $4.3M | $11M |
| Free cash flows | ($12.2M) | ($9.4M) | ($13.6M) | ($8.1M) |
| Current Ratio | 7.8 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 2.3 |
| Current ratio | 2.8 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
The rise in violent crime is no longer something you have to dig for in the news — it’s everywhere, and people are talking about it. I don’t see this trend reversing anytime soon. If anything, it’s going to get worse before it gets better. That’s why I’m drawn to physical security companies. They’re building solutions for a world where safety can no longer be taken for granted.
Xtract One is built for that world. A dangerous world. Its systems are already in schools, hospitals, and stadiums. The contract wins keep stacking up, the backlog is growing, and the technology is proving itself every day.
Yes, it’s still small and yes, it’s still losing money. But that’s often the price of being early in a market with massive demand. Step back and look at the bigger picture — a decade defined by instability and violence — and it’s hard not to see Xtract One as being in the right place at the right time.
I started a small position in May at $0.40, and if the company continues to execute, I’ll add more. For me, this is a buy-and-forget play with the potential for 10x returns over the long run. I may not be optimistic about where the world is headed, but I can still bet on a company that’s building the technology to help keep us safe.
The war in Ukraine drags on with no end in sight. Instead of fading, it looks like it may be escalating. Ukraine has been targeting Russian refineries with drone strikes, while Russian fighter jets and drones have made incursions into NATO airspace. These aren’t small skirmishes — they’re signs of how easily this conflict could spill over and drag the world into deeper instability.
Meanwhile, precious metals are sending their own signals. Gold has broken above $3,800, while silver and platinum are climbing too. To me, it feels less like routine trading and more like hoarding — the kind of behavior that surfaces before major conflict. The word that comes to mind is rearmament. Major nations are accelerating defense spending, and rearmament always drives competition for resources. That means commodities. That means hard assets.
This is why I remain bullish on oil and natural gas, especially in dividend-paying names. In uncertain times, I want exposure to energy that pays me while I wait. Add in base metals like copper, and precious metals like gold and silver, and the portfolio is built to weather turbulence. I call it a hedge against calamity — and I think that’s exactly what it is.
Beyond hard assets, my attention is locked on electricity. Demand is set to surge. AI data centers already consume staggering amounts, and hundreds more are being built. The grid will be stretched to its limits. Soon, perhaps by mid-2026, consumers will feel it too, with higher bills almost guaranteed.
That’s why I’m digging deeper into companies that can reduce power consumption or increase supply. A world racing toward electrification and AI-driven infrastructure will reward the businesses that make energy more efficient, more sustainable, and more affordable.
That search recently led me to a fascinating company with technology that reduces electricity use in air conditioning, pulls clean water from the air, and addresses both energy demand and water scarcity. Even more telling, it was just named one of three winners of the Net Zero Innovation Hub for Data Centers competition — a program backed by Google, Microsoft, Data4, Vertiv, Schneider Electric, and Danfoss. Recognition at that level tells me the potential here is enormous. I’ll share more in the next issue.
We’re entering the last quarter of the year, and so far 2025 has been a very good one for the Trendpost portfolio. Picks like Astera Labs, Rambus, EQT, and BigBear AI have delivered huge gains and proven the value of being early on strong trends.
I’m sitting on a 45% cash hoard while income-producing ETFs provide stability and steady distributions. That balance lets me ride out volatility while keeping dry powder ready.
I also made one adjustment: I swapped my SILJ ETF position for the Amplify SILJ Covered Call ETF. This fund still invests in SILJ as its largest holding (about 23%), but also includes bigger silver mining companies and uses covered calls to generate income. That aligns better with my strategy of owning ETFs that pay me monthly. The target yield here is impressive — aiming for an annualized 18% income stream — which makes it a stronger fit for the portfolio.
October has a reputation as one of the worst months in market history. With the run-up stocks have seen over the past few years, I think the best strategy now is to keep accumulating cash and wait for a significant pullback. I don’t intend to make any major deployments between now and year-end unless we see a real correction.
| Stock | Ticker | Date Added | Initial | Current | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EQT Corp. | NYSE:EQT | Jul 16, 2024 | $33.48 | Loading... | Loading... |
| ASTERA LABS | NASDAQ:ALAB | Feb 25, 2025 | $77.25 | Loading... | Loading... |
| RAMBUS INC. | NASDAQ:RMBS | Jun 15, 2025 | $59.00 | Loading... | Loading... |
| BIGBEAR.AI | NYSE:BBAI | Mar 12, 2024 | $2.80 | Loading... | Loading... |
| SHOALS TECHNOLOGIES GROUP | NASDAQ:SHLS | Jun 20, 2025 | $4.80 | Loading... | Loading... |
| ESS INC. | NYSE:GWH | Jun 05, 2025 | $1.22 | Loading... | Loading... |
| TECOGEN INC. | NYSE:TGEN | Aug 17, 2025 | $8.80 | Loading... | Loading... |
| NIOCORP DEVELOPMENTS | NASDAQ:NB | Oct 20, 2023 | $3.62 | Loading... | Loading... |
| ON SEMICONDUCTOR | NASDAQ:ON | Aug 18, 2025 | $48.15 | Loading... | Loading... |
| CLEAR BLUE TECHNOLOGIES | TSXV:CBLU | Sep 07, 2023 | $0.27 CAD | Loading... | Loading... |
| XTRACT ONE TECHNOLOGIES | TSX:XTRA | May 09, 2025 | $0.40 CAD | Loading... | Loading... |
| Asset | Ticker | Date Added | Initial | Current | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purpose Ether Yield ETF | TSX:ETHY | Jan 11, 2024 | $3.90 CAD | Loading... | 12.20% |
| Purpose Bitcoin Yield ETF | TSX:BTCY | Feb 06, 2024 | $4.89 CAD | Loading... | 20.85% |
| BMO Covered Call Utilities | TSX:ZWU | Jun 10, 2024 | $10.39 CAD | Loading... | 8.08% |
| BMO Money Market ETF | TSX:ZMMK | Jul 16, 2024 | $50.00 CAD | Loading... | 3.44% |
| Evolve Global Materials ETF | TSX:BASE | Jun 01, 2025 | $22.40 CAD | Loading... | 10.61% |
| BMO Covered Call Energy ETF | TSX:ZWEN | Mar 01, 2025 | $27.59 CAD | Loading... | 9.34% |
| Alerian MLP ETF | NYSE:AMLP | Jul 01, 2025 | $48.28 USD | Loading... | 8.01% |
| Global X Cdn Oil & Gas ETF | TSX:ENCC | Jul 01, 2025 | $10.37 CAD | Loading... | 13.61% |
| AMPLIFY SILJ COVERED CALL ETF | NYSE:SLJY | Oct 03, 2025 | $28.85 USD | Loading... | 18.00% |
Yields are approximate • Closing Prices as of October 13 2025 • Past performance ≠ future results
Remember that this is not a stock recommendation. This is just something to consider. You can access the full list of stocks mentioned in this newsletter through the link below. By clicking the link below you accept all responsibility for any potential losses that might result from buying any of the stocks mentioned in this newsletter.