Over the past year, I’ve been on a quiet but deliberate search.
I’ve been combing through companies, looking for something rare: a business with strong fundamentals, a bright future, and the kind of resilience that lets you sleep easy at night. I’m not chasing hype. I’m after substance — the kind of company I can buy, accumulate, and forget. Let it compound quietly in the background while I focus on living my life. One day, years from now, I’ll wake up and realize it’s grown into something big.
So what makes a business worth holding for the long haul?
For me, it starts with the basics: no debt. Steady sales growth. Fat gross and profit margins. High free cash flow margins. But that’s not enough. I also want a clear growth runway — a strong sales outlook with real tailwinds. I want demand that builds on itself, powered by structural shifts in how the world works.
That’s where AI and digitization come in. (Or is it digitalization? Honestly, both work — what matters is the trend.) The world is getting more connected, more automated, more reliant on data. And I’ve been asking ChatGPT and Grok to help me dig through the noise and find the industries — and companies — that stand to benefit the most from this shift.
After weeks of research, one name came up that I had never heard of before.
It’s not a flashy stock. But the more I dug into it, the more impressed I became. The numbers were strong. The business model made sense. And the long-term outlook? Bright.
I think I’ve found a winner.
Let’s dive in.
Most of us never think about what happens behind the apps we use. We post a story on Instagram. We pause Netflix, then resume later. We order a coffee from our phones and it’s waiting for us when we get there. It’s seamless. Frictionless. Easy.
But behind that clean user experience is a tangled web of software, servers, cloud platforms, and real-time data flying back and forth. And the more complex these systems get, the more chances there are for something to go wrong — lag, downtime, bugs, errors, you name it.
That’s where Dynatrace comes in.
At its core, Dynatrace helps companies understand what’s going on inside their technology systems — in real time.
This is called observability.
Think of it like the dashboard in your car — it tells you your speed, fuel level, engine temperature. Now imagine your car is a fleet of 1,000 self-driving vehicles, operating 24/7, across dozens of countries, with constant software updates. Suddenly, that dashboard needs to do a lot more.
That’s what Dynatrace builds: smart dashboards for software systems. It collects data — logs, metrics, errors, security alerts — and helps companies make sense of it. Fast.
Because today, every business is a tech business.
Banks, airlines, hospitals, retailers — they all rely on software to run smoothly. And when something breaks, customers notice. A slow app, a failed login, a payment glitch — those moments add up to lost revenue and unhappy users.
Dynatrace helps prevent those problems. Even better, it uses AI to predict issues before they happen. That’s a game-changer.
And here’s where it gets even more interesting.
The rise of AI is only making things more complex — more apps, more automation, more cloud systems talking to each other.
Which means more data… and more need for observability.
Dynatrace is perfectly positioned to benefit from this wave. Its platform isn’t just a nice-to-have — for many companies, it’s becoming mission-critical. You can’t afford to fly blind anymore.
That’s the core idea: Dynatrace is helping businesses see what’s happening behind the scenes — so they can move faster, break less, and deliver better experiences to their customers.
It's a quiet but vital job.
And that’s exactly the kind of business I want compounding in the background for the next 10 years.
Dynatrace isn’t a one-trick pony. It offers a full platform designed to help companies monitor, understand, and improve their software systems — all in real time.
Here’s what’s under the hood:
Infrastructure Monitoring tracks servers, containers, cloud instances, and network health.
Application Performance Monitoring (APM) gives deep visibility into how software is performing — all the way down to code-level issues.
Digital Experience Monitoring (DEM) captures how real users are experiencing the app — speed, crashes, frustration points.
Log Management and Analytics makes it easy to find meaning in millions of log entries, fast.
Security Monitoring keeps apps protected from vulnerabilities and threats, automatically.
Business Analytics ties technical metrics to business outcomes — like revenue and conversion.
AIOps (Davis AI) is their secret sauce — AI that finds problems before they become problems.
It’s all integrated, all built to work together, and all focused on one thing: helping companies stay ahead of complexity.
One of the reasons I like Dynatrace so much is its built‑in AI engine called Davis AI. It’s not some buzzword add‑on like what a lot of companies are doing right now — it’s the brain of the entire platform.
Davis watches everything happening across a company’s digital environment — from applications and infrastructure to security and user experience. When something breaks or starts to go wrong, it doesn’t just send an alert. It figures out why. It connects the dots, finds the root cause, and often suggests the fix before engineers even start looking.
That’s powerful. It means less downtime, faster recovery, and happier customers.
For businesses, that translates into real money saved. Fewer outages mean fewer lost sales and lower costs. For Dynatrace, it means their product pays for itself — which makes renewals and upsells a lot easier. Over time, as Davis analyzes more data, it gets smarter and more accurate, creating a flywheel effect that’s hard for competitors to match.
Davis AI doesn’t just help Dynatrace’s customers work smarter — it strengthens Dynatrace’s moat, improves its margins, and keeps demand growing. In a world where everything is powered by software and AI, Davis is the quiet intelligence keeping it all running smoothly.
Dynatrace isn’t a startup hoping to land its first big customer. It already powers the digital infrastructure of some of the largest, most complex organizations on the planet.
We’re talking about:
In total, Dynatrace works with over 3,700 enterprise customers across more than 90 countries.
Dynatrace operates in a crowded space — but that’s also a sign of how important observability and performance monitoring have become.
Its main competitors include Datadog, New Relic, Splunk, Elastic, and AppDynamics (Cisco). Each has strengths, but most require piecing together multiple tools. Dynatrace’s platform is unified, automated, and powered by Davis AI — giving it a simplicity and intelligence edge most rivals can’t match.
That’s what makes Dynatrace stand out. One agent. One dashboard. One intelligent engine behind it all.
Dynatrace has been growing revenues at a steady clip — roughly 22% annually over the past four years. In fiscal 2022, revenue came in at $929 million. By 2023, that jumped to $1.16 billion, then $1.37 billion in 2024, and finally $1.72 billion in 2025. That’s the kind of smooth, compounding growth I look for.
And it’s not slowing down. In Q1 of fiscal 2026, Dynatrace reported $477 million in revenue, up 20% year-over-year. Almost all of it came from subscription revenue, which also grew 20% — a clear signal of sticky demand and expanding customer use. Their Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) reached $1.82 billion, up 18% from a year ago, and the net retention rate held firm at 111% — proof that existing customers are spending more over time.
Gross profit for the quarter was $392 million, good for a rock-solid 82% gross margin. Net income came in at $48 million.
Operating cash flow hit $270 million, with $262 million in free cash flow — a 55%+ FCF margin. That’s the kind of number you typically only see in best-in-class software businesses. On an annual basis, free cash flow margins hover around 25%.
The balance sheet? It’s a fortress. Dynatrace is sitting on $1 billion in cash and carries no debt. It also has nearly $400 million in undrawn borrowing power, just in case.
The balance sheet? It’s a fortress. Dynatrace is sitting on $1 billion in cash and carries no debt. It also has nearly $400 million in undrawn borrowing power, just in case.
They’re also putting that strong cash flow to work. The company has a $500 million share repurchase program in place, with $282 million still left. In a market where many companies are diluting shareholders with stock-based comp, Dynatrace is quietly doing the opposite.
| In USD$ | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | $929M | $1,159M | $1,431M | $1,699M |
| Gross margin | 81% | 81% | 81% | 81% |
| Net Income | $53M | $108M | $155M | $484M |
| Shares Outstanding | 286M | 290M | 294M | 298M |
| Cash | $463M | $555M | $779M | $1,017M |
| Total debt | $274M | -- | -- | -- |
| Free cash flows | $233M | $333M | $351M | $433M |
| Current Ratio | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Retained Earnings | ($461M) | ($353M) | ($199M) | $285M |
Dynatrace fits exactly what I’ve been looking for: a high-quality compounder with strong financials, long-term tailwinds, and a business model built to scale.
It checks every box on my list — zero debt, strong growth, serious free cash flow, elite gross margins, and a product that’s quietly becoming mission-critical for thousands of companies.
And while the story is compelling, the stock hasn’t gone vertical — yet. That’s rare in this market, where a lot of names tied to AI and cloud themes have already had their big run-ups.
That’s one of the reasons I like it so much.
I opened my position in August at $46.85 and have already started selling monthly call options to lower my cost base. My strategy is simple: I aim for out-of-the-money calls with strike prices $4-$5 higher than what I paid, and expiring one month out. Since buying in, I’ve done this three times already and generated $3.35/share in income. It’s not a huge amount of income, but it adds up — and it’s part of how I try to compound steadily over time.
What I like even more is that Dynatrace itself is buying back shares. They’ve got a $500 million buyback plan in place and over $280 million still left to deploy. For long-term shareholders like me, that matters. It helps support the stock price, reduces share count, and signals confidence from management. When a company with strong fundamentals is also actively reducing float, I see that as a hidden tailwind — almost like a floor under the stock.
I don’t expect fireworks with Dynatrace. I’m not here for a quick flip. This is the kind of business I want to hold for a decade or more — as long as the fundamentals stay strong and the story stays intact.
In a world chasing fast money, I’ll happily stick with a quiet compounding machine.
As I write this, gold is trading at $4,200, silver just crossed $52, and platinum is above $1,600. Precious metals continue their surge — and it’s not just the metals. Miners are running too, from large-cap producers to tiny junior explorers. Some of this is being driven by real capital — including U.S. government-backed investments into critical mineral names like Trilogy Metals, MP Materials, and Lithium Americas.
This isn’t random. It’s the market responding to a world that’s becoming more fragmented, more resource-constrained, and more focused on supply chain resilience. I’ve been writing about the importance of critical minerals for over two years now. And while it’s validating to see that thesis play out, I can’t say it feels good — because it’s happening for the exact reasons I feared: rising geopolitical instability and a wave of rearmament across developed economies.
It feels like nations are quietly stocking up on everything — and the market is starting to catch on.
A perfect example: JPMorgan’s Security and Resiliency Initiative.
Announced on October 13th, it’s a 10-year, $1.5 trillion commitment to invest in U.S. industries deemed critical to national security and economic resilience — including energy, defense, supply chains, and advanced tech. Jamie Dimon was clear: this isn’t political — it’s commercial. JPMorgan sees what’s coming and is positioning accordingly.
And so am I.
I believe this move marks the next leg of the market cycle — one that flows into small caps, frontier tech, and national interest sectors like AI, robotics, military systems, and automation. There’s a race on — and capital will follow the momentum.
That’s why I launched the new Trendpost Quick Takes series — short, focused write-ups on micro and small-cap companies I’ve been quietly adding to the portfolio. These names might not make headlines today, but they’ll be part of the story tomorrow. They sit at the intersection of innovation, geopolitics, and resilience.
The first Quick Take features AirJoule — a fascinating little company working on systems that pull clean water straight from the air. No, it’s not magic — it’s humidity, captured and converted using waste heat. It’s one of the most compelling water technologies I’ve seen, especially as water security becomes an increasingly global concern.
In the months ahead, I’ll continue sharing more of these high-upside ideas. Yes, they’re riskier — but I manage that risk with tight position sizing. This is my venture sleeve, typically no more than 10% of the portfolio. It’s about optionality, not dependency.
The rest of the portfolio is where the real weight sits — anchored in real businesses with cash flow, durability, and scale.
Companies like Dynatrace, featured in this month’s issue.
I’m not just buying these compounders — I’m putting them to work. I sell monthly call options to lower my cost base and create steady income. Since opening my position in Dynatrace at $46.85/share in August, I’ve already collected $3.35 per share in call premiums.
Same story with ON Semiconductor, which I picked up around $48.15 at the same time. In just three months, I’ve generated $4.08 per share in income, bringing my cost base below $45.
This is what the Trendpost Portfolio is all about — a thoughtful blend of:
Every position in the portfolio has a purpose — whether it’s to grow, protect, generate income, or give me flexibility. I’m not trying to guess the future. I’m building a strategy that can adapt to it. Some names will take time. Others might move faster. But the goal stays the same: spot trends early, stay sharp, and keep building toward something that lasts.
| Stock | Ticker | Date Added | Initial | Current | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIOCORP DEVELOPMENTS | NASDAQ:NB | Oct 20, 2023 | $3.62 | 7.87 | 117% |
| BIGBEAR.AI | NYSE:BBAI | Mar 12, 2024 | $2.80 | $6.78 | 142% |
| ESS INC. | NYSE:GWH | Jun 05, 2025 | $1.22 | $4.84 | 297% |
| SHOALS TECHNOLOGIES GROUP | NASDAQ:SHLS | Jun 20, 2025 | $4.80 | $10.33 | 115% |
| TECOGEN INC. | NYSE:TGEN | Aug 17, 2025 | $8.80 | $8.46 | -4% |
| CLEAR BLUE TECHNOLOGIES | TSXV:CBLU | Sep 07, 2023 | $0.27 CAD | $0.06 CAD | -80% |
| XTRACT ONE TECHNOLOGIES | TSX:XTRA | May 09, 2025 | $0.40 CAD | $0.71 CAD | 78% |
| AIRJOULE Warrants | NASDAQ:AIRJW | Oct 02, 2025 | $0.92 | $1.27 | 38% |
| Stock | Ticker | Date Added | Initial | Current | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EQT Corp. | NYSE:EQT | Jul 16, 2024 | $33.48 | $53.56 | 60% |
| ASTERA LABS | NASDAQ:ALAB | Feb 25, 2025 | $77.25 | $163.64 | 111% |
| RAMBUS INC. | NASDAQ:RMBS | Jun 15, 2025 | $59.00 | $101.61 | 72% |
| ON SEMICONDUCTOR | NASDAQ:ON | Aug 18, 2025 | $48.15 | $51.78 | 8% |
| DYNATRACE | NYSE:DT | Aug 8, 2025 | $46.85 | $49.94 | 7% |
| Asset | Ticker | Date Added | Initial | Current | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purpose Ether Yield ETF | TSX:ETHY | Jan 11, 2024 | $3.90 CAD | $3.62 CAD | 12.20% |
| Purpose Bitcoin Yield ETF | TSX:BTCY | Feb 06, 2024 | $4.89 CAD | $8.84 CAD | 20.85% |
| BMO Covered Call Utilities | TSX:ZWU | Jun 10, 2024 | $10.39 CAD | $11.50 CAD | 8.08% |
| BMO Money Market ETF | TSX:ZMMK | Jul 16, 2024 | $50.00 CAD | $50.00 CAD | 3.44% |
| Evolve Global Materials ETF | TSX:BASE | Jun 01, 2025 | $22.40 CAD | $23.87 CAD | 10.61% |
| BMO Covered Call Energy ETF | TSX:ZWEN | Mar 01, 2025 | $27.59 CAD | $28.30 | 9.34% |
| Alerian MLP ETF | NYSE:AMLP | Jul 01, 2025 | $48.28 USD | $46.93 USD | 8.01% |
| Global X Cdn Oil & Gas ETF | TSX:ENCC | Jul 01, 2025 | $10.37 CAD | $10.64 | 13.61% |
| AMPLIFY SILJ COVERED CALL ETF | NYSE:SLJY | Oct 03, 2025 | $28.85 USD | $28.48 | 18.00% |
Yields are approximate • Closing Prices as of October 23 2025 • Past performance ≠ future results
Remember that this is not a stock recommendation. This is just something to consider. You can access the full list of stocks mentioned in this newsletter through the link below. By clicking the link below you accept all responsibility for any potential losses that might result from buying any of the stocks mentioned in this newsletter.